Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #4795

Pohronie VS Inter Bratislava

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:06 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.25%
Draw
33.06%
Away
28.69%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.7641
Log loss
1.2486

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:06 UTC
SHA-256
6f312979ee37febfc5065f9377100ae6e6f7c15edd99bcb3798a77fd665997a4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →