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Frozen pre-match forecast · #47917

Annan Athletic VS Hibernian U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:52 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.91%
Draw
22.80%
Away
35.28%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5139
Log loss
0.8695

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:52 UTC
SHA-256
512dea9d0698727561809a24ca0b238dc94762ab9a59c66bff2ce7cfc0a37b0d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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