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Frozen pre-match forecast · #4784

Blejoi VS Berca

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:06 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.04%
Draw
33.23%
Away
39.73%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

6 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8006
Log loss
1.3079

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:06 UTC
SHA-256
364057f287baea307a2a030a4e1d94d83cb4032c8b182f0bd4c2d5a3f9e112de

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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