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Frozen pre-match forecast · #4767

Karviná II VS Líšeň II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:05 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
24.39%
Draw
33.33%
Away
42.28%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6827
Log loss
1.0987

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:05 UTC
SHA-256
080438fa4cb5b9742c93fffe29fdac7d785f587a5d68febf4c5bdb3b7cdb46b8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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