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Frozen pre-match forecast · #47542

SpVgg Unterhaching VS Eichstätt

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:52 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
59.79%
Draw
23.19%
Away
17.03%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9764
Log loss
1.4615

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:52 UTC
SHA-256
2c8e2692de31bbc38834611a6e7d9998e4aae7ae82a579798154e4f6e6ccc5d5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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