Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #47466

Troszyn VS ŁKS Łódź II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:52 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.55%
Draw
22.91%
Away
30.54%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9042
Log loss
1.4736

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:52 UTC
SHA-256
d235bd03c7975975c9e254ddd6d414d389d54bf95d1f2b5872cc5bca0185bada

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →