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Frozen pre-match forecast · #47349

Nacional Potosí VS Always Ready

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:52 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 23:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.20%
Draw
23.69%
Away
43.11%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

9 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6882
Log loss
1.1026

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:52 UTC
SHA-256
0d18fb260c8764ab5e704ada5ae6f62472b7b157c1d03b37a439abaa52a3d1ff

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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