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Frozen pre-match forecast · #47197

Pohronie VS Inter Bratislava

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:52 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.73%
Draw
25.31%
Away
31.95%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.7097
Log loss
1.1409

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:52 UTC
SHA-256
a5b6ee05d09f38309260a092b8f35cea0f4126bc1222908467d9d2a1c26f2e71

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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