Frozen pre-match forecast · #47038
Sparta Nijkerk VS UDI '19
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 23 Sep 2026 · 07:51 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 23 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 50.76%
- Draw
- 20.99%
- Away
- 28.25%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.3663
- Log loss
- 0.6781
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v3
- Captured at
- 23 Sep 2026 · 07:51 UTC
- SHA-256
- 0e893cef38ba4693c4bb25f9b6342ee36a6c7522e40b015be1fc44385c34051b
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.