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Frozen pre-match forecast · #46950

Agigea VS Unirea Braniştea

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:51 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
24.76%
Draw
23.96%
Away
51.29%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8866
Log loss
1.3960

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:51 UTC
SHA-256
2ce1eef952baaa6819d9b2b385aa8b2c74f04c72a4ea6d7b1dae1122f29aa5ff

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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