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Frozen pre-match forecast · #46916

Lviv U19 VS Oleksandria U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:51 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.09%
Draw
23.21%
Away
25.70%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3591
Log loss
0.6716

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:51 UTC
SHA-256
c7f076abffc0d5e43501d1891f693592294fe5ad0858f18d00120bbe5c67e76a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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