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Frozen pre-match forecast · #46908

Kashima VS Ventforet Kofu

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:51 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
72.33%
Draw
17.62%
Away
10.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1177
Log loss
0.3238

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:51 UTC
SHA-256
e6d29e44d0e4dbf39dd048d90a868c8d07b705fe2c2ae8886e1d958e13074a6a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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