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Frozen pre-match forecast · #4689

Masar VS Proxy

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:04 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.60%
Draw
33.45%
Away
26.95%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5493
Log loss
0.9263

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:04 UTC
SHA-256
86f83e31d9c75091fe835e670d4b219e0e42bff3e87b035590d6fe10dc096d26

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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