Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #46830

Tammeka VS Viimsi

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:51 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.54%
Draw
18.95%
Away
28.51%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3424
Log loss
0.6436

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:51 UTC
SHA-256
236a38c0a1256b7df7ecb5f32d1584a930c494d5349c6e3f545e130f2dfbd153

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →