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Frozen pre-match forecast · #46670

Olympique Safi VS Chabab Ben Guerir

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:42 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
63.92%
Draw
24.50%
Away
11.58%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2036
Log loss
0.4475

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:42 UTC
SHA-256
13476516b052db751c03d657ebd22a8061c2901abc8286a93a721dafa7e3550d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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