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Frozen pre-match forecast · #46592

KAC Kenitra VS Wydad Fès

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:42 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.44%
Draw
29.06%
Away
28.49%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7759
Log loss
1.2555

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:42 UTC
SHA-256
d5d124e320ba06dd238481599efbda42d39bf1fb79f1a2489ae57f7ded2250af

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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