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Frozen pre-match forecast · #46542

Dartford VS Ramsgate

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:42 UTC
Match kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.31%
Draw
23.27%
Away
25.41%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8738
Log loss
1.3699

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:42 UTC
SHA-256
588cfb869ce6ecfe7b6a5ea6666f562f981a78225cbd3aed8823f3c222240828

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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