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Frozen pre-match forecast · #46458

12 de Junio VH VS SOL DE America

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:42 UTC
Match kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.17%
Draw
28.28%
Away
38.55%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7730
Log loss
1.2630

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:42 UTC
SHA-256
8d4859f3ee9b7837c0d9c25509602d2919f9b08e6f03a221bc24dd5247bfede2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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