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Frozen pre-match forecast · #46297

Buñol VS Torrent

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:42 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
21.31%
Draw
26.63%
Away
52.06%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3462
Log loss
0.6528

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:42 UTC
SHA-256
49f2bdd787b5b22e9b0e00bb3147808c6bfcd44e4c917263f27a4bc1a2258fe2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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