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Frozen pre-match forecast · #46095

Solingen-Wald VS Meerbusch

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:41 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.86%
Draw
22.90%
Away
25.24%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.3479
Log loss
0.6566

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:41 UTC
SHA-256
bb66863e2204e835fb5b525a4f2406b6cafbb17a5ed7e4be8d1eaf9d9f052101

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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