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Frozen pre-match forecast · #45996

Atromitos Patras VS Lefkimmi

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:41 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.33%
Draw
24.65%
Away
25.02%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3701
Log loss
0.6866

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:41 UTC
SHA-256
07b82d8d74bbf87a50d8fc50f7231bf15f2787b40484fa77e58a352e4a9a85bb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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