Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #45698

Racing Santander II VS Eibar II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:41 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.66%
Draw
25.85%
Away
33.48%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.6746
Log loss
1.0941

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:41 UTC
SHA-256
d14017fdebc33f464392608c2ae6fcbf2d07b2c35578a37bf5ffacc5e6e059df

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →