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Frozen pre-match forecast · #45489

Campo Grande VS Petrópolis

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:41 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.78%
Draw
30.17%
Away
30.05%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7362
Log loss
1.1983

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:41 UTC
SHA-256
7d13c6bebd278a35c56d83671347a0a873cb7d8310f73a0b8c6165468886ef6d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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