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Frozen pre-match forecast · #45467

FC Lebbeke VS Ninove

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:41 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.75%
Draw
23.33%
Away
34.92%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5157
Log loss
0.8735

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:41 UTC
SHA-256
c0e0c5ff10b20b43a5d2a429bfbe9ea517c852be38d6bc7390b5d69a8a84eb36

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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