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Frozen pre-match forecast · #45301

Golden Kicks VS Koforidua

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:40 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.91%
Draw
28.42%
Away
38.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7702
Log loss
1.2581

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:40 UTC
SHA-256
0a8fc8d5f339bc89cd2f3b3c6c9e6f0c3c64c4ed10e69a137f66374ed41f3360

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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