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Frozen pre-match forecast · #45099

Kufstein VS Imst

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:40 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
26.57%
Draw
25.07%
Away
48.36%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4001
Log loss
0.7265

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:40 UTC
SHA-256
1964f0802de431255a36bd810324565240dbb8d9f9fb6870ed42f9e9a67b7943

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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