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Frozen pre-match forecast · #44919

FK Romanija Pale VS Laktaši

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:40 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
15.08%
Draw
20.58%
Away
64.33%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.1774
Log loss
1.8917

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:40 UTC
SHA-256
117dbf1c08da7c64fa65b000699da4a618386b07257e181d916e223445acc76f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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