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Frozen pre-match forecast · #44731

Zonguldak Kömürspor VS Düzcespor

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:40 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.81%
Draw
27.30%
Away
28.88%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8039
Log loss
1.2982

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:40 UTC
SHA-256
2c2f70955413f9bf7836fba8c070c2262aecfcaf6dd7f3f374117715f7fb05cc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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