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Frozen pre-match forecast · #44364

Jitex W VS Linköping W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:39 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.63%
Draw
22.56%
Away
49.81%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8227
Log loss
1.2863

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:39 UTC
SHA-256
fced4915abd7357639a695451645ab092b75ddcb325da74c5d0a12c9986401f2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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