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Frozen pre-match forecast · #44330

Tanta SC VS Haras El Hodood

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:39 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
24.10%
Draw
30.05%
Away
45.85%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4416
Log loss
0.7798

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:39 UTC
SHA-256
86453ab85d4c6d4bdb443c6ab461223d6f521b32ff0a1d8fc775d512b7684a07

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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