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Frozen pre-match forecast · #44142

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa VS Hapoel Acre

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:39 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
61.73%
Draw
21.34%
Away
16.93%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2207
Log loss
0.4824

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:39 UTC
SHA-256
b00513e446959f7e068029a5fa9f7b7af6b5aad0b35146132f949f11fa9f9c45

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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