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Frozen pre-match forecast · #43968

Real Potosí VS ABB

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:39 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 22:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
70.13%
Draw
17.88%
Away
12.00%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1356
Log loss
0.3549

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:39 UTC
SHA-256
0818b7b952dfa32102c8175bf21ac519e9914258b5a57d958d8208515a1c523e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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