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Frozen pre-match forecast · #43750

Goianésia VS Mineiros

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:39 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.33%
Draw
27.71%
Away
42.95%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4883
Log loss
0.8450

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:39 UTC
SHA-256
770312dfba191336fe2f79019ce9a7ba326fe8570442a53b0d985715b66f6725

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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