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Frozen pre-match forecast · #434

Khroub VS Paradou AC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.84%
Draw
29.36%
Away
30.80%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7526
Log loss
1.2255

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
62a0bb7a341ae82d720e98f7363c4d3790bea99ad6d1de8f8485789041524a27

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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