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Frozen pre-match forecast · #43329

Gozzano VS Sanremese

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:38 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.04%
Draw
30.09%
Away
34.87%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6341
Log loss
1.0487

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:38 UTC
SHA-256
ebe2fe0614eacf41378a4e717d10b2c75e60e3630d6ba4728f5c4dff7a3042c1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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