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Frozen pre-match forecast · #43089

Torrellano VS Vall de Uxó

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:38 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 09:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.22%
Draw
29.96%
Away
37.82%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.5802
Log loss
0.9723

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:38 UTC
SHA-256
440e56dfe58ba35a2fb0e93d5bf68610dca8086f5dea106df793bfe4bdba03db

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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