Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #43057

Dukla Praha II VS Bohemians 1905 II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:38 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 08:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.43%
Draw
23.56%
Away
35.01%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8785
Log loss
1.4456

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:38 UTC
SHA-256
07b922efa533ee74c266bab910add15c74422851fbb947966b118f0cbbd81078

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →