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Frozen pre-match forecast · #4304

Rushall Olympic VS Kettering Town

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:55 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.04%
Draw
33.63%
Away
35.32%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7134
Log loss
1.1698

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:55 UTC
SHA-256
c5ca17f5cd0a4e8d45fff489fcb69d3fcec39878bf306bee5597aeebb5c7ed4a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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