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Frozen pre-match forecast · #42884

Atletico PE U20 VS Ipojuca U20

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:38 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.39%
Draw
23.94%
Away
42.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.4975
Log loss
0.8517

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:38 UTC
SHA-256
f600640d959eeb7fcc405a7f8d1b68de06822ca52927fb03ba6d116fdad8dd32

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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