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Frozen pre-match forecast · #4284

Clyde VS Rangers U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:55 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.58%
Draw
32.88%
Away
32.53%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6829
Log loss
1.1229

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:55 UTC
SHA-256
eae3900efcccf5a891e242258cc44a510d373b6857497354a5f7ac4966c71ac3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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