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Frozen pre-match forecast · #42724

ASVO VS Kraké

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:38 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.61%
Draw
31.08%
Away
26.31%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4952
Log loss
0.8531

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:38 UTC
SHA-256
4abd90312bc1b38aaa7aabc796cd6c74d8779f0150152bc1333525be575902e5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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