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Frozen pre-match forecast · #42678

FC Slutsk VS Gomel II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:38 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
73.58%
Draw
16.67%
Away
9.75%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.1071
Log loss
0.3068

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:38 UTC
SHA-256
211bbbe80586a54431ca86f0e290d5138069844cb91ff5664c3c5232c76476d8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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