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Frozen pre-match forecast · #42645

Letohrad VS Kosmonosy

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:38 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
14.62%
Draw
15.67%
Away
69.70%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.1377
Log loss
0.3609

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:38 UTC
SHA-256
3807cd93dd087bde03a103f434783319051f1f0695aeaa90fb3843e68d266b63

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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