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Frozen pre-match forecast · #42490

Koprivnica VS Uskok Klis

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:37 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
21.65%
Draw
21.79%
Away
56.56%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.2831
Log loss
0.5699

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:37 UTC
SHA-256
80fe0795641ec5033fddeed159f09bdcd7a45f9e42ad68fb772d0ee38f75d032

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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