Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #42459

Cove Rangers VS Aberdeen U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:37 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
64.84%
Draw
18.37%
Away
16.78%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1855
Log loss
0.4331

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:37 UTC
SHA-256
c883433313e6386c5cd082d253e8d3923ac4bfc2f6315efba1d24b71f90207f5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →