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Frozen pre-match forecast · #42239

Preveza VS Panagriniakos

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:37 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.58%
Draw
26.76%
Away
28.65%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4608
Log loss
0.8078

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:37 UTC
SHA-256
0a37bfa69c10c50014f7f48c79b618fc333f106bec07fe22cfe1d7297639e354

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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