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Frozen pre-match forecast · #41947

Ústí nad Labem II VS Újezd Praha 4

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:37 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
21.46%
Draw
19.64%
Away
58.90%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0387
Log loss
1.6276

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:37 UTC
SHA-256
d13e7f047b5781b62cf2e36de43b18c65f5836cf008d290730ed9272ad4625f2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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