Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #41888

Nacional Potosí VS Always Ready

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:37 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 23:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.20%
Draw
23.69%
Away
43.11%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

9 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6882
Log loss
1.1026

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:37 UTC
SHA-256
018ded9897355103d7b3c9a07e1a635dc95938398fd490ac1fa81a11419ab1be

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →