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Frozen pre-match forecast · #41727

Viitorul Corbeanca VS Păuleşti

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:36 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.01%
Draw
24.86%
Away
25.13%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8779
Log loss
1.3919

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:36 UTC
SHA-256
348693086382fd7d8135c3831ec3c5ca47f467e0c683ad0670879dc3b00a3787

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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