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Frozen pre-match forecast · #41642

Kawkab Marrakech VS Hassania Agadir

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:36 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.44%
Draw
29.28%
Away
24.28%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.8748
Log loss
1.4155

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:36 UTC
SHA-256
044e3b5e5568038953c5a9c88c5eabab3c21bf326b9ea883657fb1600c29b7ec

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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